{"id":2142,"date":"2024-11-07T15:17:21","date_gmt":"2024-11-07T14:17:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vieassociative.be\/actualites\/les-elections-americaines-une-gifle-retentissante-pour-les-demologues-la-majorite-silencieuse-decide-interjection\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T15:17:21","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T14:17:21","slug":"les-elections-americaines-une-gifle-retentissante-pour-les-demologues-la-majorite-silencieuse-decide-interjection","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vieassociative.be\/actualites\/les-elections-americaines-une-gifle-retentissante-pour-les-demologues-la-majorite-silencieuse-decide-interjection\/","title":{"rendered":"Les \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines, une gifle retentissante pour les d\u00e9mologues : la \u00ab majorit\u00e9 silencieuse \u00bb d\u00e9cide (interjection)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Les sondeurs pr\u00e9voyaient une course au coude-\u00e0-coude pour l&rsquo;\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle aux Etats-Unis. Certains m\u00e9dias se sont m\u00eame demand\u00e9 ce qui se passerait si Kamala Harris et Donald Trump obtenaient exactement le m\u00eame nombre d\u2019\u00e9lecteurs le 5 novembre.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"more-401240\"><\/span>Lors des \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines, tous les sondeurs se sont \u00e0 nouveau tromp\u00e9s. Au lieu d\u2019une course en t\u00eate-\u00e0-t\u00eate, Trump a remport\u00e9 une victoire \u00e9crasante.<\/p>\n<p>De nos jours, dans presque toutes les \u00e9lections, les pr\u00e9visions des sondeurs se r\u00e9v\u00e8lent fausses. On se demande vraiment pourquoi des organisations ou des institutions continuent de payer autant d\u2019argent pour des pr\u00e9visions qui ne valent rien.<\/p>\n<p>Il faut de l&rsquo;argent co\u00fbteux pour r\u00e9aliser des enqu\u00eates non seulement sur les intentions de vote, mais aussi sur toutes les opinions ou sentiments imaginables. Les hommes politiques justifient souvent les initiatives l\u00e9gislatives par les r\u00e9sultats d\u2019enqu\u00eates. Cela s\u2019applique \u00e9galement aux \u00e9tudes de march\u00e9 avant la mise en vente d\u2019un produit.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_396390\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 300px\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-396390 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/vieassociative.be\/actualites\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/1730427423_50_Voici-comment-se-deroulent-les-elections-aux-Etats-Unis-Questions-et.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">10 septembre 2024, \u00c9tats-Unis, Philadelphie : le candidat r\u00e9publicain \u00e0 la pr\u00e9sidence et ancien pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain Donald Trump, serre la main avec la candidate d\u00e9mocrate \u00e0 la vice-pr\u00e9sidence Kamala Harris lors d&rsquo;un d\u00e9bat pr\u00e9sidentiel d&rsquo;ABC News au National Constitution Center. Photo : Alex Brandon\/AP<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Vous pouvez en fait \u00e9conomiser de l\u2019argent, car les \u00ab sondages d\u2019opinion repr\u00e9sentatifs \u00bb n\u2019existent plus. On se demande m\u00eame si les enqu\u00eates en ligne sont finalement plus fiables que les enqu\u00eates d\u2019instituts d\u2019opinion renomm\u00e9s comme Allensbach, Forsa, Ipsos &#038; Co.<\/p>\n<p>Les sondeurs ne parviennent plus \u00e0 capter la partie de la population qui constitue la \u00ab majorit\u00e9 silencieuse \u00bb parce que ces personnes ne sont pas forc\u00e9ment assises chez elles et joignables par t\u00e9l\u00e9phone fixe, comme c&rsquo;\u00e9tait le cas auparavant, ou parce qu&rsquo;elles n&rsquo;ont pas envie de r\u00e9pondre aux questions. questions qui leur sont pos\u00e9es, ou parce qu&rsquo;ils disent sciemment des contrev\u00e9rit\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p>Qui aime admettre qu\u2019il votera pour l\u2019AfD, le Vlaams Belang ou Donald Trump ? Ou qui, interrog\u00e9 sur le bonheur, admet qu\u2019il ne l\u2019est pas ? Ou qui, lorsqu\u2019on lui demande \u00e0 quelle fr\u00e9quence ils ont des rapports sexuels avec leur femme, est pr\u00eat \u00e0 admettre qu\u2019en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 il ne se passe plus rien entre eux ?<\/p>\n<p>En ce qui concerne les \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines, la question passionnante est la suivante : comment les d\u00e9mocrates se seraient-ils comport\u00e9s si les sondages quelques semaines avant les \u00e9lections avaient montr\u00e9 que Kamala Harris \u00e9tait clairement derri\u00e8re Donald Trump ? Ils auraient probablement corrig\u00e9 leur strat\u00e9gie et fix\u00e9 des priorit\u00e9s diff\u00e9rentes. Cependant, \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 la course au coude \u00e0 coude annonc\u00e9e, il n\u2019y avait aucune raison de changer quoi que ce soit. C&rsquo;est ce qui arrive quand on fait aveugl\u00e9ment confiance aux sondages&#8230; (cre)<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Sur le sujet, voir aussi l&rsquo;article suivant sur l&rsquo;OD :<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"responsive-embed widescreen\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"DhDonYPlQX\">\n<p>Six raisons qui expliquent la victoire \u00e9lectorale de Donald Trump<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201eSechs Gr\u00fcnde f\u00fcr den Wahlsieg von Donald Trump\u201c \u2014 Ostbelgien Direkt\" src=\"https:\/\/ostbelgiendirekt.be\/about:blank\" data-secret=\"DhDonYPlQX\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-rocket-lazyload=\"fitvidscompatible\" data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/ostbelgiendirekt.be\/sechs-gruende-trump-401174\/embed#?secret=XtVhPRIs6P#?secret=DhDonYPlQX\"><\/iframe><noscript><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201eSechs Gr\u00fcnde f\u00fcr den Wahlsieg von Donald Trump\u201c \u2014 Ostbelgien Direkt\" src=\"https:\/\/ostbelgiendirekt.be\/sechs-gruende-trump-401174\/embed#?secret=XtVhPRIs6P#?secret=DhDonYPlQX\" data-secret=\"DhDonYPlQX\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/noscript><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"responsive-embed widescreen\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"kTKCMPSHgI\">\n<p>Trump est de retour \u2013 plus d\u00e9cha\u00een\u00e9 et plus extr\u00eame que jamais<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201eTrump ist zur\u00fcck \u2013 entfesselter und extremer denn je\u201c \u2014 Ostbelgien Direkt\" src=\"https:\/\/ostbelgiendirekt.be\/about:blank\" data-secret=\"kTKCMPSHgI\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-rocket-lazyload=\"fitvidscompatible\" data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/ostbelgiendirekt.be\/trump-kehrt-zurueck-401153\/embed#?secret=yD9UoW1Ez7#?secret=kTKCMPSHgI\"><\/iframe><noscript><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u201eTrump ist zur\u00fcck \u2013 entfesselter und extremer denn je\u201c \u2014 Ostbelgien Direkt\" src=\"https:\/\/ostbelgiendirekt.be\/trump-kehrt-zurueck-401153\/embed#?secret=yD9UoW1Ez7#?secret=kTKCMPSHgI\" data-secret=\"kTKCMPSHgI\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/noscript><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les sondeurs pr\u00e9voyaient une course au coude-\u00e0-coude pour l&rsquo;\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle aux Etats-Unis. Certains m\u00e9dias se sont m\u00eame demand\u00e9 ce qui se passerait si Kamala Harris<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1891,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[298],"tags":[2570,2884,2881,2569,2879,2885,14,2882,81,2880,2883,110],"class_list":["post-2142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-belgique","tag-americaines","tag-decide","tag-demologues","tag-elections","tag-gifle","tag-interjection","tag-les","tag-majorite","tag-pour","tag-retentissante","tag-silencieuse","tag-une","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Les \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines, une gifle retentissante pour les d\u00e9mologues : la \u00ab majorit\u00e9 silencieuse \u00bb d\u00e9cide (interjection) | Vie Associative<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vieassociative.be\/actualites\/les-elections-americaines-une-gifle-retentissante-pour-les-demologues-la-majorite-silencieuse-decide-interjection\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les \u00e9lections am\u00e9ricaines, une gifle retentissante pour les d\u00e9mologues : la \u00ab majorit\u00e9 silencieuse \u00bb d\u00e9cide (interjection) | Vie Associative\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les sondeurs pr\u00e9voyaient une course au coude-\u00e0-coude pour l&rsquo;\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle aux Etats-Unis. 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